NASDAQ 100: Expansion Phase Looms Above Key Trigger
Weekly and daily trends remain long as countertrend pressures fade. Watch the upper H1 trigger for acceleration toward ATH and target Fibonacci levels.
Market Overview
The US100 remains firmly in its primary bullish trajectory, with the higher timeframes fully aligned to the upside. Recent corrective phases have provided structural clarity, and the index is now compressing against breakout levels with a potential expansion phase imminent.
Long-Term Structure
The weekly chart continues to print higher highs and higher lows, sustaining the long-term bullish trend. A corrective pullback has been absorbed above 21,325.5—the weekly structure remains intact, supported by prior breakout zones.
The all-time high at 22,239.3 is embedded in a larger weekly target Fibonacci zone, forming the next macro target if breakout conditions are met.
Daily Chart
Daily trend is long and stable. The recent correction was orderly and has respected prior breakout structure around 21,473.5. The market has now returned to a consolidation zone beneath previous highs, indicating accumulation behavior.
4H Chart
The H4 short countertrend has been broken cleanly, validating a new wave up within the bullish continuation. Price action is now forming higher highs and higher lows, with structure remaining above 21,636.9 and clean breakouts forming.
The H4 target Fibonacci zone begins near the ATH and stretches toward 22,190–22,300, aligning with the 138.2% and 161.8% projections of the last corrective wave.
1H Chart
H1 shows a short-term countertrend still in play. The lower green descending trendline marks the first trigger level; a clean breakout above it invalidates the micro downtrend.
However, just above lies a more significant H1 breakdown level. Only a clean breakout above this second level confirms the transition into an expansion phase, with high probability of price moving swiftly through 22,000 into target territory.
Trigger Levels
Initial Trigger (H1): 21,860.4
Breakout Confirmation: Above 21,926.8
Invalidation: Sustained rejection below 21,636.9 may reopen correction
Target Zones
100% Weekly Target Fibonacci: 22,100
H4 Target Fibonacci Zone: 22,190 – 22,300
Summary
All higher timeframes (W, D, H4) remain long and in bullish structure. H1 countertrend provides a tactical entry roadmap: a confirmed breakout above the dual green trendlines triggers the expansion phase, targeting the all-time high and beyond.
Actionable Insight
Monitor 21,926.8 for a clean H1 breakout. Above this, expansion into the ATH zone is likely. Intraday traders should look for strong momentum candles and breakout retests for entries. Below 21,636.9, risk of deeper pullback returns.
Stay updated—the next leg could unfold swiftly once breakout levels are breached.